TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid
Volume:
$7,836,176
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Sevilla FC and Club Atlético de Madrid.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Sevilla win, Atlético win, draw) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi offers three separate markets that each independently resolve YES based on their respective outcome, creating a fundamental logical contradiction: on Kalshi, all three markets would resolve YES simultaneously for any match result, which is impossible.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms assuming equivalent payoff structures. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES (mutually exclusive outcomes). On Kalshi, the market structure appears to guarantee all three markets resolve YES regardless of the match result, making Kalshi's markets logically incoherent. Clarify Kalshi's actual settlement rules before placing trades.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the match outcome (Sevilla win, Atlético win, or draw). Each market explicitly states 'Otherwise, this market will resolve to No,' ensuring only the outcome that occurred resolves YES. Primary source is official La Liga statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three markets framed as independent YES/NO resolutions: 'If Sevilla wins...then resolves to Yes,' 'If Atletico wins...then resolves to Yes,' 'If Tie wins...then resolves to Yes.' This structure logically requires all three markets to resolve YES simultaneously for any match outcome, creating an impossible settlement scenario that contradicts standard prediction market design.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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