TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Senegal vs. Gambia
Volume:
$176,489
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional international friendly soccer match between Senegal and Gambia scheduled for March 31, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Senegal win, Gambia win, or draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical match scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and identical primary resolution source (official governing body statistics with credible reporting fallback), with only minor differences in cancellation handling that do not create trading risk.
Primary resolution logic:
FIFA official match statistics; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours after match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome determined by goals scored within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution scope
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Senegal win, Gambia win, or draw
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, draw market resolves Yes and win markets resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a rescheduled date
- Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket draw market resolves Yes; Polymarket win markets resolve No. Kalshi markets all resolve Yes per their universal tie/cancellation rule.
- Official statistics delay: If FIFA does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources
- Scope boundary: Only outcomes within 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; any goals in extra time or penalties are disregarded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after match completion and official statistics publication or credible reporting consensus is established, no later than 2 hours post-match conclusionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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