TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Senators vs. Red Wings
Volume:
$1,137,965
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On March 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, the Ottawa Senators visit the Detroit Red Wings for an NHL game. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing three distinct outcomes: (1) the moneyline winner, (2) total goals scored by both teams combined, and (3) the margin of victory. All markets include overtime and shootout goals in their final tallies, with shootout wins credited as +1 goal to the winning team.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on margin-of-victory thresholds (1.5+ and 2.5+ goal wins), while Polymarket settles on total goals scored, moneyline winner, and spread thresholds. The platforms measure fundamentally different outcomes for the same game.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, you are betting on how decisively one team wins (margin). If you bet on Polymarket, you are betting on total scoring, the winner, or a specific margin threshold. A 3-1 game resolves YES on Kalshi (Detroit wins by 2) but may resolve differently on Polymarket depending on which market you chose. Verify which platform's market type matches your prediction.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves based exclusively on margin-of-victory thresholds. All four markets resolve YES if either team wins by more than 1.5 goals OR more than 2.5 goals. Quote: 'If Detroit wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Ottawa wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers five separate market types: moneyline (winner only), four over/under total-goals markets (thresholds: 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and two spread markets (Red Wings -1.5, Senators -1.5). Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Senators and Red Wings combine to score 7 or more goals' and 'This market will resolve to Red Wings if the Red Wings win the game by 2 or more goals.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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