TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Senators vs. Oilers
Volume:
$1,521,382
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between the Ottawa Senators and Edmonton Oilers scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (match winner), multiple over/under total goals markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and a spread bet on the Oilers at -1.5 goals.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Oilers win and Senators win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is contradictory and cannot be settled fairly. Focus trading activity on Polymarket, where all six markets (moneyline, four over/under thresholds, and spread) have clear, mutually exclusive outcomes. Request formal clarification from Kalshi before engaging.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Six distinct markets with clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths. Moneyline resolves to Senators or Oilers based on final score. Over/under markets resolve based on combined goal totals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 thresholds). Spread resolves to Oilers if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise Senators. All markets include shootout handling (winning team receives +1 goal credit). Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Key Quote: 'In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.'
- Kalshi: Single moneyline market with contradictory resolution logic. Market text states: 'If EDM Oilers wins the Ottawa at Edmonton professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If OTT Senators wins the Ottawa at Edmonton professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating logical impossibility. No handling specified for postponements, cancellations, or shootouts.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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