TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Senators vs. Devils
Volume:
$1,285,474
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On April 12, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET, the Ottawa Senators will face the New Jersey Devils in an NHL regular season game. Markets will resolve based on the final score including overtime and shootouts (with one goal added to the winning team's total in shootout scenarios). The event group includes moneyline (winner) and multiple over/under total goals markets at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on spread/margin thresholds (1.5, 2.5 goal differentials) with Yes/No binary outcomes, while Polymarket settles on moneyline (winner only) and total goals (combined score thresholds). The platforms use fundamentally different market structures and resolution criteria for the same underlying game.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on margin-of-victory thresholds; if you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on either the winner or combined scoring. A Senators win by exactly 2 goals resolves YES on Kalshi's 1.5-goal spread but does NOT directly resolve any Polymarket moneyline or total-goals market. Ensure your position matches the platform's settlement logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi uses spread/margin-of-victory thresholds as the sole resolution criterion. Markets resolve YES if New Jersey wins by over 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or if Ottawa wins by over 1.5 or 2.5 goals. No moneyline or total-goals markets are offered. Key quote: 'If New Jersey wins by over 1.5 goals in the Ottawa at New Jersey professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate market types: moneyline (Senators vs. Devils winner only), and two total-goals markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 combined goals). No spread/margin markets are offered. Key quote: 'If the Senators win, the market will resolve to Senators. If the Devils win, the market will resolve to Devils' and 'This market will resolve to Over if the Senators and Devils combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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