TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.1b

24H VOL:

$198,735,462

24H TRANSACTIONS:

527,413,651

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,238,334,809

499,092

Markets across

13,695

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,769

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Seattle Redhawks vs. Washington State Cougars (W)

Volume:
$111,794
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Seattle Redhawks and Washington State Cougars scheduled for March 5, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the matchup.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Washington St. win and Seattle win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as stated. Polymarket uses a categorical resolution (team name) with clear edge-case handling. The two platforms are measuring incompatible resolution types.

Hero Tip:

Do not trade Kalshi until the contradiction is resolved. Polymarket's logic is sound and resolvable. If forced to choose, Polymarket represents the standard interpretation of a head-to-head sports matchup.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market with internal contradiction. Both outcomes (Washington St. wins OR Seattle wins) are stated to resolve to Yes. This violates basic binary market logic. Key Quote: 'If Washington St. wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Seattle wins... resolves to Yes'
  • Polymarket: Categorical resolution market that resolves to the winning team's name. Includes explicit edge-case handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the Seattle Redhawks win, the market will resolve to Seattle Redhawks. If the Washington State Cougars win, the market will resolve to Washington State Cougars.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.