This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Seattle Redhawks and Saint Mary's Gaels scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final outcome of this single game.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Saint Mary's win OR Seattle win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which violates binary market semantics and makes the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic.
Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market as written is broken and should not be traded until the platform clarifies whether Yes means game-completed-with-any-winner or if the description contains a drafting error. Polymarket's market is logically sound and tradeable. If forced to interpret Kalshi charitably, assume Yes = game occurs and completes, No = game canceled with no makeup.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all. Resolves to Seattle Redhawks if Seattle wins; resolves to Saint Mary's Gaels if Saint Mary's wins. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Contradictory logic: states If Saint Mary's wins then Yes, AND If Seattle wins then Yes. Both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market. No handling of postponement or cancellation scenarios provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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