Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 11, 2026, with identical coverage of postponement and cancellation scenarios.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga 2 statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties).
If SC Preußen Münster wins, the Münster win market resolves YES and the draw/Fürth win markets resolve NO.
If SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins, the Fürth win market resolves YES and the draw/Münster win markets resolve NO.
If the match ends in a draw, the draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the final outcome of the completed match.
Match Cancellation Without Make-Up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the draw market resolves YES (treating cancellation as a non-decisive outcome), while both win markets resolve NO.
Resolution Source Hierarchy: Official Bundesliga 2 statistics from the governing body or event organizers are the primary source. If these are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by Bundesliga 2 or event organizers, or within 2 hours post-match via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.