This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) soccer match between SC Paderborn 07 and Eintracht Braunschweig scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi predict the outcome (Paderborn win, Braunschweig win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Kalshi's draw market contains a logical contradiction where all three possible outcomes (Paderborn win, tie, Braunschweig win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi draw market. The resolution logic is internally contradictory - it claims that a Paderborn win, a tie, AND a Braunschweig win all resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible. Use Polymarket's draw market instead, which has clear mutually exclusive resolution criteria. Contact Kalshi support immediately to clarify whether this is a documentation error.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, No otherwise. If game is canceled with no makeup, draw market resolves Yes. Primary source is official Bundesliga statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
Kalshi: Market description states three outcomes all resolve to Yes: 'If Paderborn wins... then Yes', 'If Tie wins... then Yes', 'If Braunschweig wins... then Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible match outcome triggers a Yes resolution, making the market unresolvable and contradicting basic prediction market design.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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