TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München
Volume:
$3,563,664
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
SC Freiburg and FC Bayern München will compete in a Bundesliga match on April 4, 2026. This event group contains three binary outcome markets: whether Freiburg wins, whether Bayern wins, or whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 4, 2026, with identical scope and primary resolution source from the governing body or credible reporting consensus.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics and governing body records; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.Core resolution logic:
- The match outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
- Exactly one of three mutually exclusive outcomes will occur: SC Freiburg wins, FC Bayern München wins, or the match ends in a draw.
- On Polymarket: Draw market resolves YES if draw occurs or game is canceled with no makeup; Bayern win market resolves YES if Bayern wins; Freiburg win market resolves YES if Freiburg wins.
- On Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Tie, Bayern Munich, Freiburg) resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs.
- If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until completion.
- If the match is canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES while Bayern and Freiburg markets resolve NO; Kalshi's markets remain unresolved pending clarification of cancellation treatment.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Both platforms keep all markets open until the match is completed. No early resolution occurs.
- Match Cancellation Without Makeup: Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES and win markets to NO. Kalshi's treatment is not explicitly stated for this scenario; this represents a minor ambiguity in edge case handling.
- Resolution Source Timing: Both platforms use official governing body statistics as primary source, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official stats are not published within 2 hours post-match conclusion.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official match completion and publication of final statistics by Bundesliga or governing body, or upon consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours after match conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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