TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 - Halftime Result
Volume:
$2,639
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between SC Freiburg and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846, scheduled for April 19, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible halftime outcomes (Freiburg win, Heidenheim win, or draw), making it logically unresolvable and fundamentally contradictory to the Polymarket structure which requires mutually exclusive YES/NO outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical impossibility: all three mutually exclusive halftime outcomes trigger YES resolution. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets (Freiburg leading, Draw, or Heidenheim leading) will resolve YES. Kalshi's structure guarantees YES on all three, which violates basic probability and market design.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each mutually exclusive. Market 1 resolves YES only if SC Freiburg leads at halftime. Market 2 resolves YES only if the halftime result is a draw. Market 3 resolves YES only if 1. FC Heidenheim leads at halftime. Exactly one outcome occurs; exactly one market resolves YES. Quote: 'If SC Freiburg wins within the first 45 minutes... this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all triggering YES. Condition 1: 'If Heidenheim is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.' Condition 2: 'If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes.' Condition 3: 'If Freiburg is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins or if there is a draw—a logical impossibility for a single binary contract.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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