TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC - More Markets
Volume:
$1,185,150
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for March 18 at 11:30 AM ET.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on market scope and structure. Polymarket offers separate binary markets for each spread threshold (Braga -1.5, Braga -2.5, Ferencvárosi -1.5, Ferencvárosi -2.5) plus totals and BTTS, while Kalshi collapses all four spread outcomes into two Yes/No markets that resolve Yes if either team wins by the specified margin.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, you must pick a specific spread direction and threshold; only one outcome resolves YES per market. On Kalshi, a single Yes bet covers both teams winning by that margin, creating different payoff structures. Verify your platform's market structure before trading to avoid confusion on settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures spreads as directional binary markets. Each spread (Braga -1.5, Braga -2.5, Ferencvárosi -1.5, Ferencvárosi -2.5) is a separate market where YES resolves only if that specific team wins by that specific margin, and NO resolves otherwise. For example, 'Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)' resolves YES only if 'SC Braga win the game by 2 or more goals,' otherwise NO. All markets reference uefa.com as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi structures spreads as outcome-agnostic Yes/No markets. Market 1 ('Braga wins by more than 2.5 goals') and Market 2 ('Ferencvarosi wins by more than 2.5 goals') are separate, each resolving Yes independently if that condition is met. Similarly, Market 3 ('Ferencvarosi wins by more than 1.5 goals') and Market 4 ('Braga wins by more than 1.5 goals') are separate. This allows both markets in a pair to resolve Yes simultaneously (e.g., if Braga wins 4-0, both 'Braga >2.5' and 'Braga >1.5' resolve Yes), whereas Polymarket's directional structure ensures only one outcome per market resolves YES.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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