TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC
Volume:
$862,039
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 18, 2026 between SC Braga and Ferencvárosi TC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi offers four over/under markets on total goals (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5), while Polymarket offers three binary outcome markets (draw, Ferencvárosi win, Braga win). The platforms resolve on fundamentally different event structures: Kalshi settles on goal thresholds, Polymarket on match outcomes.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are predicting goal volume; on Polymarket, you are predicting match result. A 2-2 draw resolves YES on Kalshi's >1.5 and >2.5 markets but YES on Polymarket's draw market—these are different bets. Ensure your strategy aligns with which market type you prefer.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi settles on four independent over/under total-goals thresholds (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5 goals combined), each resolving YES or NO based on whether the threshold is exceeded. All four markets reference the same match and time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time) but measure goal volume, not outcome.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket settles on three mutually exclusive match outcomes—draw, Ferencvárosi win, or Braga win—each resolving YES or NO based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are outcome-based markets, not goal-volume markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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