TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC
kalshi
polymarket

SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC

Volume:
$862,039

SC Braga

 - Polymarket

SC Braga - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 18, 11:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

SC Braga

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$646,475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43,873
N/A
N/A
$25,621
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,437
N/A
N/A
$17,940
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,005
N/A
N/A
$1,369
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ferencvárosi TC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,140
N/A
N/A
$21,331
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,866
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 18, 2026 between SC Braga and Ferencvárosi TC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers four over/under markets on total goals (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5), while Polymarket offers three binary outcome markets (draw, Ferencvárosi win, Braga win). The platforms resolve on fundamentally different event structures: Kalshi settles on goal thresholds, Polymarket on match outcomes.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, you are predicting goal volume; on Polymarket, you are predicting match result. A 2-2 draw resolves YES on Kalshi's >1.5 and >2.5 markets but YES on Polymarket's draw market—these are different bets. Ensure your strategy aligns with which market type you prefer.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi settles on four independent over/under total-goals thresholds (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5 goals combined), each resolving YES or NO based on whether the threshold is exceeded. All four markets reference the same match and time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time) but measure goal volume, not outcome.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket settles on three mutually exclusive match outcomes—draw, Ferencvárosi win, or Braga win—each resolving YES or NO based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are outcome-based markets, not goal-volume markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.