TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Saski Baskonia vs. Paris Basketball
Volume:
$41,724
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single Euroleague basketball game between Saski Baskonia and Paris Basketball scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Baskonia win and Paris Basketball win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket correctly maps outcomes to team names and includes postponement/cancellation rules absent from Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market structure is fundamentally broken and cannot be settled fairly. Contact Kalshi support immediately to clarify whether one outcome should resolve to No, or whether this is a template error. Trade only on Polymarket until Kalshi resolves this contradiction.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both Baskonia win and Paris Basketball win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Quote: 'If Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Paris Basketball wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Resolves to winning team name (Saski Baskonia or Paris Basketball). Includes explicit handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Saski Baskonia win, the market will resolve to Saski Baskonia. If the Paris Basketball win, the market will resolve to Paris Basketball. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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