A men's college basketball game between Santa Clara Broncos and Saint Mary's Gaels scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and over/under total points.
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Saint Mary's win and Santa Clara win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary moneyline logic.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is unresolvable due to internal logical error. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets are all consistent and tradeable, using NCAA.com as the official source with clear edge case handling (50-50 on full cancellation, held open on postponement).
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Saint Mary's wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Santa Clara wins...resolves to Yes'. This is logically impossible and unresolvable.
Polymarket: Standard binary moneyline: Santa Clara win resolves to 'Santa Clara Broncos', Saint Mary's win resolves to 'Saint Mary's Gaels'. Spread and over/under markets use clear thresholds (6+ point margin for -5.5 spread, 7+ for -6.5 spread, 152+ combined points for 151.5 O/U, 154+ for 153.5 O/U) with 50-50 cancellation rule and postponement hold.
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