Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Shimizu S-Pulse on April 11, 2026, considering only the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official J-League statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (jleague.jp); if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Core resolution logic:
Exactly one of three mutually exclusive outcomes will occur: Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins, Shimizu S-Pulse wins, or the match ends in a draw.
Resolution is based solely on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded.
If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's Hiroshima-win and S-Pulse-win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES; Kalshi's outcome market resolves based on the actual result (or NO if truly canceled).
Resolution source is the official J-League governing body; credible reporting consensus is secondary if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's win markets (Hiroshima and S-Pulse) resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES. Kalshi would resolve based on the actual outcome if the match occurs, or would require clarification if truly canceled.
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date.
Delayed Official Statistics: If the J-League does not publish official match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms permit resolution based on consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon completion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 11, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed), with official J-League statistics as the primary source and credible reporting consensus as secondary source if official data is unavailable within 2 hours post-match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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