TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Gamba Ōsaka
Volume:
$16,368
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Japan J1 League professional soccer match between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Ōsaka scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the match outcome (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical time scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and identical primary resolution source (official J-League statistics), with only minor differences in cancellation handling that do not affect the core match outcome determination.
Primary resolution logic:
Official J-League statistics as recognized by the governing body (jleague.jp); if not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used.Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined by the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution scope
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins, Gamba Ōsaka wins, or draw
- Resolution source is official J-League statistics; secondary source is credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable within 2 hours
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed and final score is available
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Polymarket draw market resolves Yes; Polymarket win markets resolve No. Kalshi's structure resolves all three outcomes to Yes (tautological edge case with no practical impact)
- Official Stats Delay: If J-League does not publish final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official final score is published by J-League, or within 2 hours thereafter if credible reporting consensus is requiredOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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