TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Cerezo Ōsaka
Volume:
$305,910
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Ōsaka.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market rules are logically contradictory and unresolvable. All three outcomes (Hiroshima win, Cerezo win, tie) are specified to resolve to Yes, making it impossible for the market to have a single definitive resolution.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market entirely—it contains a fatal logical flaw. Trade only on Polymarket, where three separate binary markets (Hiroshima win, Cerezo win, draw) each have clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Hiroshima win resolves YES only if Hiroshima wins; Cerezo win resolves YES only if Cerezo wins; draw resolves YES only if the match ends in a tie. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Source: official J-League statistics or credible reporting within 2 hours of match conclusion. Cancellation with no makeup resolves draw market to YES, others to NO.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all specified to resolve to Yes: (1) If Hiroshima wins, resolves Yes; (2) If Cerezo wins, resolves Yes; (3) If Tie occurs, resolves Yes. This creates a logical impossibility—the market cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes for all three mutually exclusive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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