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San Jose State Spartans vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
kalshi
polymarket

San Jose State Spartans vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

Volume:
$158,797

Fresno St.

 - Kalshi

Fresno St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fresno St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63,617
N/A
N/A
$51,909
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,215
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 148.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,890
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 149.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Jose St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,141
N/A
N/A
$52,961
Settled
No
polymarket

San Jose State Spartans vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,745
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between San Jose State Spartans and Fresno State Bulldogs scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes (at -6.5 and -7.5), and over/under totals (at 148.5 and 149.5 points).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains contradictory resolution language where both San Jose State winning and Fresno State winning are stated to resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible for a binary event. Polymarket's markets are internally consistent with standard sports betting resolution logic.Hero tip: The Kalshi divergence appears to be a documentation or platform error rather than a true substantive difference in intended resolution. Focus on Polymarket's clearly-stated logic: moneyline winner takes the market, spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (7+ or 8+ points depending on line), and totals resolve based on combined score thresholds (149+ or 150+ depending on line). All platforms agree on postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50 split) handling. Confirm Kalshi's actual settlement mechanics with platform support before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market contains contradictory logic: states both 'If San Jose St. wins... resolves to Yes' and 'If Fresno St. wins... resolves to Yes', creating an impossible binary resolution state. No spread or total markets specified on Kalshi.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (San Jose State Spartans or Fresno State Bulldogs). Over/Under 149.5 resolves Over if combined score >= 150, Under if < 150. Over/Under 148.5 resolves Over if combined score >= 149, Under if < 149. Spread -7.5 resolves Fresno State if margin >= 8, otherwise San Jose State. Spread -6.5 resolves Fresno State if margin >= 7, otherwise San Jose State. All include overtime in final score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.