This event group covers a men's college basketball game between San Jose State Spartans and Boise State Broncos scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-14.5 and -15.5), and over/under totals (145.5 and 146.5), with Kalshi offering additional over/under thresholds at various levels.
Kalshi and Polymarket employ different over/under threshold conventions and granularity. Kalshi uses increments of 2.5 or 3 points with > logic, while Polymarket uses standard sports betting thresholds (145.5, 146.5) with >= logic applied to the next whole number.
Hero Tip:
Before settlement, confirm whether the final combined score triggers resolution under Kalshi's strict > convention versus Polymarket's standard >= convention. A score of exactly 146 is a critical boundary: it resolves Over on Polymarket 145.5 but may differ on Kalshi 144.5 depending on exact platform interpretation. Always cross-check the official NCAA box score and platform settlement announcements.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner based on final score including overtime. Spread markets (-14.5, -15.5) resolve if Boise State wins by stated margin or more; otherwise San Jose State. Over/Under markets (145.5, 146.5) resolve Over if combined score is 146+ or 147+ respectively. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the San Jose State Spartans and Boise State Broncos combine to score 146 or more points.'
Kalshi: Twelve separate over/under markets with thresholds from 130.5 to 162.5. Each resolves Yes if combined score exceeds (>) the threshold. No moneyline or spread markets listed. Key quote: 'If San Jose St. and Boise St. collectively score over 156.5 total points... then the market resolves to Yes.' (Note: uses > not >=)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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