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San Jose State Spartans vs. Air Force Falcons (W)
kalshi
polymarket

San Jose State Spartans vs. Air Force Falcons (W)

Volume:
$4,450

San Jose State Spartans vs. Air Force Falcons (W)

 - Polymarket

San Jose State Spartans vs. Air Force Falcons (W) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 16, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

San Jose State Spartans vs. Air Force Falcons (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Air Force

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$8,217
$3,383
0%
0%
$3,354
N/A
kalshi

San Jose St.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,325
$917
0%
0%
$889
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between San Jose State Spartans and Air Force Falcons scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the matchup.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: it states both Air Force winning and San Jose State winning resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible for a mutually exclusive binary event. Polymarket uses a sound categorical resolution model (team name outcomes) with clear edge case handling.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi until the market logic is corrected. The platform cannot settle this market as written. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be the reference standard. Verify with PredictionHero support before placing capital on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both outcomes (Air Force win and San Jose State win) are mapped to Yes resolution. Quote: 'If Air Force wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If San Jose St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates an unresolvable contradiction.
  • Polymarket: Categorical resolution: San Jose State win resolves to 'San Jose State Spartans', Air Force win resolves to 'Air Force Falcons'. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) protocols. Quote: 'If the San Jose State Spartans win, the market will resolve to San Jose State Spartans. If the Air Force Falcons win, the market will resolve to Air Force Falcons.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.