TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Sporting Kansas City
Volume:
$253,535
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between San Jose Earthquakes and Sporting Kansas City scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket predict whether the game will end in a draw, a Kansas City win, or a San Jose win, all measured within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and postponement handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi omits cancellation rules entirely, while Polymarket applies asymmetric resolution (Yes for draw cancellation, No for win cancellations).Hero Tip:
Monitor MLS official schedule for any postponements or cancellations. If the game is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until completion. If canceled without makeup, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes while win markets resolve No, but Kalshi markets have undefined behavior—escalate to PredictionHero support for guidance.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets (Tie Yes/No, Kansas City Win Yes/No, San Jose Win Yes/No) each resolve Yes if their outcome occurs. No explicit rules for postponement or cancellation. Key Quote: 'does not include extra time or penalties.'
- Polymarket: Three markets with asymmetric cancellation rules: Draw market resolves Yes if canceled; Kansas City and San Jose win markets resolve No if canceled. All markets remain open if postponed. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (wins).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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