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San Jose Earthquakes vs. Sporting Kansas City
kalshi
polymarket

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Sporting Kansas City

Volume:
$253,535

San Jose

 - Kalshi

San Jose - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 22, 1:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Jose

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$91,385
N/A
N/A
$52,661
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas City

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,843
N/A
N/A
$28,121
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,150
N/A
N/A
$13,687
Settled
No
polymarket

San Jose Earthquakes

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87,586
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Sporting Kansas City

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,284
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (San Jose Earthquakes vs. Sporting Kansas City)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,287
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between San Jose Earthquakes and Sporting Kansas City scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket predict whether the game will end in a draw, a Kansas City win, or a San Jose win, all measured within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation and postponement handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi omits cancellation rules entirely, while Polymarket applies asymmetric resolution (Yes for draw cancellation, No for win cancellations).Hero tip: Monitor MLS official schedule for any postponements or cancellations. If the game is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until completion. If canceled without makeup, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes while win markets resolve No, but Kalshi markets have undefined behavior—escalate to PredictionHero support for guidance.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three separate binary markets (Tie Yes/No, Kansas City Win Yes/No, San Jose Win Yes/No) each resolve Yes if their outcome occurs. No explicit rules for postponement or cancellation. Key Quote: 'does not include extra time or penalties.'
  • Polymarket: Three markets with asymmetric cancellation rules: Draw market resolves Yes if canceled; Kansas City and San Jose win markets resolve No if canceled. All markets remain open if postponed. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (wins).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.