TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC - More Markets
Volume:
$8,394
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an MLS match between San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders FC scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span spread betting (1.5 and 2.5 goal margins), total goals over/under (1.5 to 4.5), and both teams to score, with resolution based on official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses directional spread logic (one team must cover or the other wins the market), while Kalshi uses bidirectional margin logic (either team covering the spread triggers YES). These produce different resolution sets for identical game outcomes.Hero Tip:
Polymarket SJ (-1.5) and Seattle (-1.5) are mutually exclusive outcomes. Kalshi 'Either team by 1.5+' and 'Either team by 2.5+' are independent binary outcomes. A 3-0 SJ win triggers YES on Polymarket SJ (-1.5) AND YES on Kalshi 'Either team by 2.5+', but these are structurally different markets. Confirm your directional bias before trading across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Directional spread markets. SJ (-1.5) resolves YES if SJ wins by 2+ goals, otherwise NO (Seattle wins the market). Seattle (-1.5) resolves YES if Seattle wins by 2+ goals, otherwise NO (SJ wins the market). Each spread pair is mutually exclusive. Quote: 'This market will resolve to San Jose Earthquakes if San Jose Earthquakes win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Seattle Sounders FC.'
- Kalshi: Bidirectional margin markets. 'Either team wins by more than 1.5 goals' resolves YES if SJ wins by 2+ OR Seattle wins by 2+. 'Either team wins by more than 2.5 goals' resolves YES if SJ wins by 3+ OR Seattle wins by 3+. Multiple Kalshi markets can resolve YES from a single game. Quote: 'If Seattle wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes. If San Jose wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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