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406,422

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2,688

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5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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61%

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San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC
kalshi
polymarket

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC

Volume:
$1,301,051

Seattle

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 16, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Seattle

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$209,521
N/A
N/A
$153,314
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Seattle Sounders FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81,338
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

San Jose Earthquakes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$711,389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

San Jose

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$225,291
N/A
N/A
$128,258
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,501
N/A
N/A
$42,274
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,011
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders FC scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets are offered across Kalshi and Polymarket, with separate contracts tracking San Jose win, Seattle win, and draw outcomes within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly defines cancellation outcomes (draw resolves YES, wins resolve NO) while Kalshi provides no cancellation clause. Additionally, Kalshi's three mutually-exclusive YES conditions lack clarity on which single outcome resolves YES, creating ambiguity if multiple conditions could theoretically apply.Hero tip: Traders should note that Polymarket's draw market is the only contract that benefits from a full cancellation scenario. If you are long the draw on Polymarket, a cancellation is favorable; if you are long any win market on Polymarket, cancellation is unfavorable. Kalshi's silence on cancellation is a red flag—contact support to confirm whether Kalshi will mirror Polymarket's cancellation rules or adopt a different protocol. For postponements, both platforms remain open, so no immediate settlement risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets: San Jose win (YES if San Jose wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, YES if canceled with no makeup, NO otherwise), Seattle win (YES if Seattle wins, NO otherwise). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponements keep market open; full cancellations trigger the divergent YES/NO outcomes noted above.
  • Kalshi: Single event group with three outcome conditions: Tie wins (YES), Seattle wins (YES), San Jose wins (YES). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement language provided. Logical structure implies only one outcome resolves YES, but cancellation handling is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.