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$134.2b

24H VOL:

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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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San Jose Earthquakes vs. Atlanta United FC
kalshi
polymarket

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Atlanta United FC

Volume:
$82,005

San Jose Earthquakes

 - Polymarket

San Jose Earthquakes - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 7:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

San Jose Earthquakes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$53,524
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Jose wins by over 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,989
N/A
N/A
$8,644
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Atlanta United FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (San Jose Earthquakes vs. Atlanta United FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,706
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$581
N/A
N/A
$581
Settled
No
kalshi

San Jose wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$392
N/A
N/A
$392
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
$243
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers the San Jose Earthquakes vs. Atlanta United FC MLS match scheduled for February 28, 2026. Kalshi offers markets on goal-differential outcomes (>1.5 and >2.5 goal margins for either team), while Polymarket offers binary markets on match winner (San Jose win, Atlanta win, or draw). Both platforms resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets measure goal differential thresholds (>1.5 and >2.5 goals), while Polymarket markets measure binary match outcomes (win/loss/draw). Both use the same time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and data source (MLS official records), but the resolution criteria are fundamentally different market archetypes.Hero tip: Kalshi and Polymarket are measuring different things. A 1-0 San Jose win triggers Yes on Polymarket but No on Kalshi. A 3-0 San Jose win triggers Yes on both. Understand which market type matches your prediction before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Goal-differential markets. Resolves Yes if San Jose wins by >1.5 goals, Atlanta wins by >1.5 goals, San Jose wins by >2.5 goals, or Atlanta wins by >2.5 goals. Key Quote: 'If San Jose wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Atlanta at San Jose professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Binary match outcome markets. Three separate markets: San Jose win (Yes/No), Atlanta win (Yes/No), and draw (Yes/No). Key Quote: 'If San Jose Earthquakes wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.