TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
San Francisco Dons vs. Santa Clara Broncos (W)
Volume:
$66,643
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the San Francisco Dons and Santa Clara Broncos scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Santa Clara win and San Francisco win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market unable to differentiate between outcomes and rendering it unresolvable as a binary prediction market.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market cannot function as designed. Traders should avoid this contract entirely and use Polymarket as the sole reliable venue for this matchup.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard winner-take-all binary. Dons win resolves to San Francisco Dons; Broncos win resolves to Santa Clara Broncos. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory structure: both Santa Clara win and San Francisco win are specified to resolve to Yes. This creates a tautological resolution where the market always resolves Yes regardless of actual game outcome, violating basic binary market logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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