TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Toreros
Volume:
$3,103,999
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between the San Francisco Dons and San Diego Toreros scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds, and total points scored across various over/under lines.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (San Diego wins OR San Francisco wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard moneyline logic with winner-based resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline - it is logically broken. Use Polymarket's moneyline as the authoritative winner determination. Spread and total markets across both platforms are internally consistent and will resolve identically based on the final game score.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If San Diego wins, resolves Yes. If San Francisco wins, resolves Yes. This creates a tautology where all outcomes resolve identically, making the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If San Diego wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If San Francisco wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market uses standard logic: resolves to San Francisco Dons if SF wins, resolves to San Diego Toreros if SD wins. Cancellation without makeup triggers 50-50 split. Quote: 'If the San Francisco Dons win, the market will resolve to San Francisco Dons. If the San Diego Toreros win, the market will resolve to San Diego Toreros.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.