TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Toreros
kalshi
polymarket

San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Toreros

Volume:
$3,103,999

San Francisco

 - Kalshi

San Francisco - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 16, 2026

Closed: Feb 15, 9:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Francisco

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,042,950
$1,622,135
N/A
N/A
$938,271
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Diego

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,050,787
$1,368,961
N/A
N/A
$857,228
Settled
No
polymarket

San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Toreros

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$69,657
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 148.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,052
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 147.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,947
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,195
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 145.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,083
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 146.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,650
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,317
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 9

Description

A men's college basketball game between the San Francisco Dons and San Diego Toreros scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds, and total points scored across various over/under lines.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (San Diego wins OR San Francisco wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard moneyline logic with winner-based resolution.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline - it is logically broken. Use Polymarket's moneyline as the authoritative winner determination. Spread and total markets across both platforms are internally consistent and will resolve identically based on the final game score.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If San Diego wins, resolves Yes. If San Francisco wins, resolves Yes. This creates a tautology where all outcomes resolve identically, making the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If San Diego wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If San Francisco wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market uses standard logic: resolves to San Francisco Dons if SF wins, resolves to San Diego Toreros if SD wins. Cancellation without makeup triggers 50-50 split. Quote: 'If the San Francisco Dons win, the market will resolve to San Francisco Dons. If the San Diego Toreros win, the market will resolve to San Diego Toreros.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.