TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
San Francisco Dons vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)
Volume:
$31,498
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the San Francisco Dons and Saint Mary's Gaels scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: both a Saint Mary's win and a San Francisco win resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable and fundamentally broken.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria guarantee that both possible outcomes map to the same result (Yes), which violates basic binary market logic. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent winner-take-all resolution. Contact Kalshi support if you hold positions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary winner-take-all logic with explicit edge cases. Resolves to San Francisco Dons if SF wins, Saint Mary's Gaels if SMC wins. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Quote: 'If the San Francisco Dons win, the market will resolve to San Francisco Dons. If the Saint Mary's Gaels win, the market will resolve to Saint Mary's Gaels.'
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory resolution criteria. Both outcomes map to Yes resolution, making the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Saint Mary's wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If San Francisco wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' No distinction between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.