This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the San Francisco Dons and Pacific Tigers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline, over/under totals at multiple thresholds, and point spread outcomes across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Kalshi moneyline market has a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (San Francisco win and Pacific win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the market structure is corrected. The Polymarket suite of markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) is logically consistent and can be safely traded. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether No resolution applies to cancellations, ties, or if this is a template error.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to either San Francisco Dons or Pacific Tigers based on final score. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory thresholds (5+ points for -4.5, 4+ points for -3.5). Totals resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold (142+ for O/U 141.5, 143+ for O/U 142.5). All markets resolve 50-50 if game is canceled with no makeup. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical defect: 'If San Francisco wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Pacific wins... resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution value, leaving no valid path for No resolution. No cancellation or edge case handling specified. Key quote: Both win conditions resolve to Yes with no complementary No condition defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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