This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the San Diego Toreros and Pepperdine Waves scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Pepperdine win and San Diego win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket for this event. Kalshi's market structure is broken and cannot settle correctly. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether this is a data error or if the market is actually asking a different question (e.g., will the game be played).
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to "San Diego Toreros" if San Diego wins, "Pepperdine Waves" if Pepperdine wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Defective binary logic. States "If Pepperdine wins... resolves to Yes" and separately "If San Diego wins... resolves to Yes." Both outcomes map to Yes, creating a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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