TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
San Diego Toreros vs. Loyola Marymount Lions (W)
Volume:
$11,399
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the San Diego Toreros and Loyola Marymount Lions scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this matchup, with different resolution structures across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (San Diego win and Loyola Marymount win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket as the reliable source for this event. Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies the No resolution condition. This divergence suggests a template error on Kalshi's side rather than a genuine market design difference.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. San Diego win resolves to San Diego Toreros, Loyola Marymount win resolves to Loyola Marymount Lions. Includes edge case handling: postponement keeps market open until completion, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'If the San Diego Toreros win, the market will resolve to San Diego Toreros. If the Loyola Marymount Lions win, the market will resolve to Loyola Marymount Lions.'
- Kalshi: Defective Yes/No structure where both outcomes trigger Yes resolution with no stated No condition. Creates logical impossibility. Key quote: 'If Loyola Marymount wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If San Diego wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' No condition for either team not winning or game cancellation is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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