A college basketball game between the San Diego Toreros and Loyola Marymount Lions scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread, and total points scored.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (San Diego win or Loyola Marymount win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form. The resolution logic is contradictory and will create settlement disputes. Focus on Polymarket's clearly defined moneyline (mutually exclusive outcomes), spread, and total markets, which are internally consistent and reference the same game and source (NCAA).
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Loyola Marymount wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If San Diego wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two teams winning.
Polymarket: Moneyline market specifies mutually exclusive outcomes: resolves to 'San Diego Toreros' if San Diego wins, 'Loyola Marymount Lions' if Loyola Marymount wins. Spread and total markets follow standard binary logic (Over/Under, team A/team B). All three markets reference NCAA as source and March 5, 11:30 PM ET as game time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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