This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between San Diego State Aztecs and Kansas Jayhawks scheduled for March 26, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
Kalshi's resolution criteria are logically contradictory, resolving to Yes regardless of which team wins, making the market unresolvable as a binary. Polymarket uses a winner-name resolution structure that is logically sound and distinguishes between outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded until corrected. Polymarket is the only reliable settlement source. If forced to settle Kalshi, escalate to PredictionHero compliance—the Yes resolution for both outcomes violates basic market logic.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Both Kansas win and San Diego State win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot resolve to No. Key Quote: If Kansas wins...Yes. If San Diego St. wins...Yes.
Polymarket: Resolves to winner name (San Diego State Aztecs or Kansas Jayhawks) with 50-50 split if canceled. Logically coherent and resolvable. Key Quote: If San Diego State wins, resolve to San Diego State Aztecs. If Kansas wins, resolve to Kansas Jayhawks.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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