A college basketball game between San Diego State Aztecs and Colorado State Rams scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at different thresholds, and total points scored.
Kalshi's binary Yes/No structure resolves to Yes for both possible game outcomes (either team winning), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a predictive market. Polymarket markets are standard and resolvable.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until resolution logic is clarified. The current wording guarantees a Yes resolution regardless of which team wins, which defeats the purpose of a prediction market. Polymarket markets are safe to trade based on standard sports betting resolution conventions.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Six distinct resolvable markets: moneyline (SDSU or CSU wins), two point spread markets (SDSU -2.5 and -3.5), and two total points markets (O/U 137.5 and 138.5). Each has mutually exclusive outcomes based on final score. Resolution source: NCAA official final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Single binary market structured as 'If Colorado St. wins...Yes. If San Diego St. wins...Yes.' Both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating logical impossibility. No clear resolution path for a No outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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