TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Air Force Falcons (W)
Volume:
$274,428
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Women's College Basketball game between San Diego State Aztecs and Air Force Falcons scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final game result, including overtime if applicable.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Air Force win and San Diego State win) are mapped to Yes resolution, leaving no valid path to No. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as specified.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether this is a documentation error or a structural issue. The market as written cannot function as a standard binary. Polymarket offers a clear, standard binary outcome structure and should be preferred.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary outcome market. Resolves to "San Diego State Aztecs" if SDSU wins, or "Air Force Falcons" if Air Force wins. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contradictory Yes-resolution logic. Both Air Force win and San Diego State win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility where no outcome can resolve to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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