TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
San Diego FC vs. St. Louis City SC
kalshi
polymarket

San Diego FC vs. St. Louis City SC

Volume:
$476,723

San Diego FC

 - Kalshi

San Diego FC - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 2, 2026

Closed: Mar 2, 12:15 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Diego FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$219,067
N/A
N/A
$162,056
Settled
Yes
polymarket

San Diego FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60,554
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saint Louis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114,683
N/A
N/A
$91,723
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,402
N/A
N/A
$45,861
Settled
No
polymarket

St. Louis City SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (San Diego FC vs. St. Louis City SC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the San Diego FC vs. St. Louis City SC MLS match scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets track whether St. Louis wins, San Diego wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's three-outcome structure (all resolving Yes) is logically contradictory and unresolvable in cancellation scenarios. Polymarket's differentiated cancellation rules (No for Win/Loss, Yes for Draw) create a platform-level settlement mismatch.Hero tip: Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket will settle identically on cancellation. Kalshi's current terms appear to have a structural flaw: if the game is canceled, all three mutually exclusive outcomes cannot resolve Yes simultaneously. Request clarification from Kalshi before trading. Polymarket's logic is sound: Win markets go No, Draw goes Yes. Use Polymarket as the reference standard for cancellation scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three separate binary markets, each resolving to Yes if its outcome occurs (Saint Louis wins, Tie, San Diego wins). No explicit cancellation clause. Logical problem: all three outcomes are mutually exclusive, yet all three resolve Yes—creating an impossible state if the game is canceled or if the platform attempts to resolve all three simultaneously.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit cancellation rules. St. Louis Win resolves No if canceled (no makeup). San Diego Win resolves No if canceled (no makeup). Draw resolves Yes if canceled (no makeup). This creates internal consistency: exactly one outcome will be true at settlement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.