TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
San Diego FC vs. St. Louis City SC
Volume:
$476,723
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the San Diego FC vs. St. Louis City SC MLS match scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets track whether St. Louis wins, San Diego wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three-outcome structure (all resolving Yes) is logically contradictory and unresolvable in cancellation scenarios. Polymarket's differentiated cancellation rules (No for Win/Loss, Yes for Draw) create a platform-level settlement mismatch.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket will settle identically on cancellation. Kalshi's current terms appear to have a structural flaw: if the game is canceled, all three mutually exclusive outcomes cannot resolve Yes simultaneously. Request clarification from Kalshi before trading. Polymarket's logic is sound: Win markets go No, Draw goes Yes. Use Polymarket as the reference standard for cancellation scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets, each resolving to Yes if its outcome occurs (Saint Louis wins, Tie, San Diego wins). No explicit cancellation clause. Logical problem: all three outcomes are mutually exclusive, yet all three resolve Yes—creating an impossible state if the game is canceled or if the platform attempts to resolve all three simultaneously.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit cancellation rules. St. Louis Win resolves No if canceled (no makeup). San Diego Win resolves No if canceled (no makeup). Draw resolves Yes if canceled (no makeup). This creates internal consistency: exactly one outcome will be true at settlement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.