TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake - More Markets
Volume:
$363,609
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the MLS match between San Diego FC and Real Salt Lake on March 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span multiple outcome types: total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5), both teams scoring, and spread outcomes (San Diego FC and Real Salt Lake at -1.5 and -2.5 goal margins). All markets resolve based on the final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on market scope and logical structure. Polymarket offers multiple independent markets (O/U at various thresholds, spreads, both-teams-to-score) that each resolve separately based on the final match score. Kalshi offers only four markets, all structured as 'Yes if either team wins by more than X goals,' creating a logical gap where certain match outcomes (e.g., a 1-0 win) cannot resolve to Yes on any Kalshi market.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, note that markets resolve Yes only when a team wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. A 1-goal or 2-goal margin will resolve No on all four Kalshi markets, whereas Polymarket's spread and O/U markets provide finer granularity and cover all possible outcomes. Polymarket offers more complete coverage of match scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers eight independent markets covering multiple dimensions—Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 goal thresholds; spreads at -1.5 and -2.5 for both teams; and both-teams-to-score. Each market resolves separately based on the official final score from mlssoccer.com. For example, 'O/U 1.5' resolves Over if combined goals >= 2, Under if < 2. 'Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)' resolves to San Diego FC if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise Real Salt Lake. All markets reference 'the official final score published on mlssoccer.com' and allow 2 hours for official statistics before falling back to credible reporting consensus.
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers only four markets, all structured as 'Yes if [Team] wins by more than X goals.' Markets 1 and 2 resolve Yes if either team wins by more than 2.5 goals; Markets 3 and 4 resolve Yes if either team wins by more than 1.5 goals. This creates a logical asymmetry: a 1-goal or 2-goal margin resolves No on all four markets, and there is no market covering draws or low-scoring outcomes. Kalshi does not specify a fallback source or 2-hour window for official statistics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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