TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK
polymarket
kalshi

Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK

Volume:
$197,653

Samsunspor

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 19, 2026

Closed: Apr 19, 1:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Samsunspor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,084
N/A
N/A
$27,389
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Samsunspor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,357
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Besiktas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,876
N/A
N/A
$44,219
Settled
No
polymarket

Beşiktaş JK

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,827
N/A
N/A
$9,310
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Sunday, April 19, 2026 between Samsunspor and Beşiktaş JK.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Samsunspor win, Draw, Beşiktaş win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines a single market where ALL three outcomes resolve to YES simultaneously, creating a logical contradiction.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's market as written—it is logically unresolvable. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES; treat them as a partition of outcomes. If you hold all three Polymarket markets, one will pay and two will lose.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets partition the outcome space: Market 1 resolves YES only if Samsunspor wins; Market 2 resolves YES only if the game ends in a draw; Market 3 resolves YES only if Beşiktaş wins. Exactly one market resolves YES. Cancellation without makeup resolves Market 1 and 3 to NO, and Market 2 to YES. Resolution source is TFF (Turkish Football Federation) official statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Samsunspor wins...then YES. If Besiktas wins...then YES. If Tie wins...then YES.' This creates a logical impossibility—the market resolves YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes simultaneously. No cancellation clause is specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.