TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK
Volume:
$197,653
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Sunday, April 19, 2026 between Samsunspor and Beşiktaş JK.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Samsunspor win, Draw, Beşiktaş win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines a single market where ALL three outcomes resolve to YES simultaneously, creating a logical contradiction.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market as written—it is logically unresolvable. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES; treat them as a partition of outcomes. If you hold all three Polymarket markets, one will pay and two will lose.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets partition the outcome space: Market 1 resolves YES only if Samsunspor wins; Market 2 resolves YES only if the game ends in a draw; Market 3 resolves YES only if Beşiktaş wins. Exactly one market resolves YES. Cancellation without makeup resolves Market 1 and 3 to NO, and Market 2 to YES. Resolution source is TFF (Turkish Football Federation) official statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Samsunspor wins...then YES. If Besiktas wins...then YES. If Tie wins...then YES.' This creates a logical impossibility—the market resolves YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes simultaneously. No cancellation clause is specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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