TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Samford Bulldogs vs. Wofford Terriers (W)
Volume:
$1,025,577
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Samford Bulldogs and Wofford Terriers scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of this matchup, with different resolution mechanics across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both Samford win and Wofford win are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a mutually exclusive game outcome. This suggests either a documentation error or a misunderstanding of Kalshi's Yes/No contract semantics.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until you confirm whether the Yes/No structure means 'game completed with a winner' (both outcomes Yes) or if it is a documentation error. Polymarket offers clear, unambiguous binary resolution. If Kalshi intends to track game completion rather than winner identity, it is a different market archetype entirely (The Announcement) rather than The Binary Event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market. Samford win resolves to Samford Bulldogs; Wofford win resolves to Wofford Terriers. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Yes/No structure where both Samford win and Wofford win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility unless the market is tracking game completion (The Announcement archetype) rather than winner identity (The Binary Event archetype).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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