TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Samford Bulldogs vs. The Citadel Bulldogs
kalshi
polymarket

Samford Bulldogs vs. The Citadel Bulldogs

Volume:
$266,077

Samford

 - Kalshi

Samford - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

Closed: Feb 19, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Samford

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$61,574
N/A
N/A
$42,938
Settled
Yes
kalshi

The Citadel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$173,342
N/A
N/A
$123,837
Settled
No
polymarket

Samford Bulldogs vs. The Citadel Bulldogs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,574
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 140.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,759
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 141.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,154
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 143.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$249
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,424
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

A men's college basketball game between Samford Bulldogs and The Citadel Bulldogs scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at The Citadel. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread (Samford -10.5), and multiple over/under totals (140.5, 141.5, 143.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Samford win or Citadel win) are specified to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution state. This makes the market mathematically unresolvable and creates a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market. The specification error makes it impossible to settle correctly. Focus trading activity on Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets, which all use consistent, resolvable logic based on final NCAA score including overtime.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical tautology. Both conditional branches (Samford win → Yes; Citadel win → Yes) resolve to the same outcome, eliminating the No resolution state. Quote: 'If Samford wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If The Citadel wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Standard binary moneyline with mutually exclusive outcomes. Samford win resolves to Samford Bulldogs; Citadel win resolves to The Citadel Bulldogs. Spread and over/under markets use consistent final-score-inclusive-of-overtime logic. Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.