TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Samford Bulldogs vs. Mercer Bears
polymarket
kalshi

Samford Bulldogs vs. Mercer Bears

Volume:
$399,852

Mercer

 - Kalshi

Mercer - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mercer

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$178,106
N/A
N/A
$89,391
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Samford

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$177,609
N/A
N/A
$98,175
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 154.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,111
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 156.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$185
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Samford Bulldogs vs. Mercer Bears

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,379
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$254
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$208
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a college basketball game between Samford Bulldogs and Mercer Bears scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -3.5 and -4.5, and over/under totals at 154.5 and 156.5 points. Resolution is based on final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Mercer win or Samford win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The second condition should likely resolve to No (if Samford wins), not Yes. Polymarket's moneyline and derivative markets are safe to trade based on standard resolution logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Samford Bulldogs or Mercer Bears). Spreads resolve based on margin: -3.5 requires Mercer win by 4+, -4.5 requires Mercer win by 5+. Over/Unders resolve based on combined total: 154.5 threshold is 155+, 156.5 threshold is 157+. All markets remain open if postponed, resolve 50-50 if canceled. Final score includes overtime.
  • Kalshi: Market states: 'If Mercer wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Samford wins... resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state, making the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.