TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Samford Bulldogs vs. Mercer Bears
Volume:
$399,852
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a college basketball game between Samford Bulldogs and Mercer Bears scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -3.5 and -4.5, and over/under totals at 154.5 and 156.5 points. Resolution is based on final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Mercer win or Samford win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The second condition should likely resolve to No (if Samford wins), not Yes. Polymarket's moneyline and derivative markets are safe to trade based on standard resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Samford Bulldogs or Mercer Bears). Spreads resolve based on margin: -3.5 requires Mercer win by 4+, -4.5 requires Mercer win by 5+. Over/Unders resolve based on combined total: 154.5 threshold is 155+, 156.5 threshold is 157+. All markets remain open if postponed, resolve 50-50 if canceled. Final score includes overtime.
- Kalshi: Market states: 'If Mercer wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Samford wins... resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state, making the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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