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405,232

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos
kalshi
polymarket

Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos

Volume:
$630,772

New Mexico

 - Kalshi

New Mexico - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 19, 2026

Closed: Mar 19, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Mexico

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$154,175
N/A
N/A
$115,639
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,934
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 164.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,949
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 162.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 165.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,061
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,930
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 163.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 178.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$527
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 181.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 184.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 179.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 174.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 183.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 177.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 176.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 187.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 189.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 172.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 175.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 180.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 185.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 35

Description

This event is for the CBB game between Sam Houston Bearkats and New Mexico Lobos on March 18 at 9:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is fundamentally broken: both outcomes (New Mexico wins OR Sam Houston wins) resolve to YES, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures the market with mutually exclusive outcomes (Sam Houston Bearkats, New Mexico Lobos, or 50-50 on cancellation), plus separate Over/Under and spread markets.Hero tip: Do NOT trade Kalshi's moneyline market—it violates basic logic by resolving YES for every possible game outcome. Trade only Polymarket's markets, which have sound resolution logic. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification or withdrawal before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (questions 1-2) contains a critical logical flaw. Both rules state 'the market resolves to Yes'—one for New Mexico winning and one for Sam Houston winning. This means the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, making it unresolvable and unhedgeable. Quote: 'If New Mexico wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Houston wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket structures the moneyline as a mutually exclusive categorical market (Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos), with a 50-50 cancellation clause. Polymarket also offers separate, well-defined Over/Under markets (at thresholds 162.5, 163.5, 164.5, 165.5, 172.5, 174.5, 175.5, 176.5, 177.5, 178.5, 179.5, 180.5, 181.5, 183.5, 184.5, 185.5, 187.5, 189.5) and spread markets (New Mexico -11.5 through -26.5). Quote: 'If the Sam Houston Bearkats win, the market will resolve to Sam Houston Bearkats. If the New Mexico Lobos win, the market will resolve to New Mexico Lobos.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.