TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Manhattan Jaspers (W)
Volume:
$56,148
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Saint Peter's Peacocks and Manhattan Jaspers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Manhattan win and Saint Peter's win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable and creating a guaranteed payout regardless of actual game result.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the resolution logic is corrected. The market as currently documented cannot function as a prediction market. Polymarket's binary logic is sound and tradeable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Saint Peter's victory resolves to 'Saint Peter's Peacocks', Manhattan victory resolves to 'Manhattan Jaspers'. Postponements extend market; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution criteria: states both 'If Manhattan wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Saint Peter's wins...resolves to Yes', creating a logical impossibility where mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution states.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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