TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Washington State Cougars
Volume:
$1,214,685
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Saint Mary's Gaels and Washington State Cougars scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, the spread outcome (Saint Mary's -8.5), and the total points over/under (149.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market resolves to Yes for both possible outcomes (either team winning), making it logically unresolvable and fundamentally broken. Polymarket's three markets (moneyline, spread, total) are internally consistent and properly structured.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is unresolvable due to a logical contradiction. Use Polymarket for all three market types: moneyline for winner, spread for margin, and total for combined points. All three Polymarket markets share consistent resolution logic tied to final score including overtime.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Washington St. wins... then Yes' AND 'If Saint Mary's wins... then Yes'. This guarantees a Yes resolution regardless of outcome, creating a logical impossibility. The market has no coherent resolution path.
- Polymarket: Three distinct markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: (1) Moneyline resolves to team name (winner only); (2) Spread resolves to Saint Mary's if they win by 9+, otherwise Washington State; (3) Total resolves to Over if combined score is 150+, otherwise Under. All tied to final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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