A college basketball game between Saint Mary's Gaels and Seattle Redhawks scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi offer bets on the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and combined total points scored.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use identical core logic: final official score including overtime, postponement keeps market open, cancellation resolves 50-50. Spread and total thresholds vary by market design but follow consistent mathematical principles.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NCAA game result and final score as reported by the sanctioning body
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline resolves to the team with the higher final score
Spread markets resolve based on point differential: Saint Mary's wins spread if they win by the stated threshold or more (e.g., -10.5 requires 11+ point win)
Over/Under markets resolve based on combined total points: Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold plus one (e.g., 136.5 line resolves Over at 137+)
All resolution includes overtime periods in final score calculation
If game is postponed, all markets remain open until game completion
If game is canceled with no makeup, all markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Overtime: All markets explicitly include overtime periods in final score determination
Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed; no early resolution occurs
Cancellation: If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 split
Spread Threshold Precision: Polymarket uses -9.5 and -10.5 spreads; Kalshi uses multiple granular thresholds (1.5, 4.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 16.5, 19.5, 22.5, 25.5). Both use consistent greater-than logic; no divergence in principle
Total Points Thresholds: Polymarket offers 132.5, 133.5, 134.5, and 136.5 lines; all resolve Over at combined score of threshold plus one point. No divergence in methodology
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after final official score is confirmed by NCAA, including any overtime completion. Postponed games remain unresolved until played. Canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50 at the originally scheduled date if no makeup is announced within a reasonable period.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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