TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Santa Clara Broncos (W)
Volume:
$6,251
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Saint Mary's Gaels and Santa Clara Broncos scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Saint Mary's win OR Santa Clara win) resolve to the same state (Yes), rendering the market unable to distinguish between the two teams and making it fundamentally unresolvable as a binary prediction market.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi until corrected. The market cannot function as written because every possible game outcome produces Yes. Trade only on Polymarket, which has proper winner-take-all binary logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Winner-take-all binary resolution with clear differentiation. Saint Mary's victory resolves to Saint Mary's Gaels; Santa Clara victory resolves to Santa Clara Broncos. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically incoherent: both Saint Mary's win and Santa Clara win resolve to Yes, creating no differentiation between outcomes. This violates binary market logic and makes the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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