TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs (W)
Volume:
$16,016
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Saint Mary's Gaels and Gonzaga Bulldogs scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Both platforms are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (Gonzaga win and Saint Mary's win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear binary logic with proper edge case handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the platform corrects this contradiction. The Kalshi market as currently described cannot determine a winner and represents a settlement failure. Use Polymarket as the reference market for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary resolution: Saint Mary's win resolves to Saint Mary's Gaels; Gonzaga win resolves to Gonzaga Bulldogs. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contradictory logic: Both Gonzaga win and Saint Mary's win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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