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484,805

Markets across

36,640

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2,879

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5

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Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines
kalshi
polymarket

Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines

Volume:
$18,532,206

Spread -12.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -12.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 12:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$448,876
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 161.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$325,488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$241,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$580
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$107
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michigan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,616,730
N/A
N/A
$4,541,300
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,900,743
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Saint Louis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,962,097
N/A
N/A
$4,299,736
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 169.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,928
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 173.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,678
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 172.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,453
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 171.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 170.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 176.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$667
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 179.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$566
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 175.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 174.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 177.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

This event group covers the men's college basketball game between Saint Louis Billikens and Michigan Wolverines scheduled for March 21, 2026, played at Michigan's home venue. The markets resolve based on the final outcome of the game, with resolution occurring upon completion of regulation play and any necessary overtime periods.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's monoline markets resolve YES for ANY outcome (both Saint Louis win AND Michigan win), creating a logical contradiction that makes these markets fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution logic where each outcome resolves to a single winner or spread threshold. This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's platform.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's monoline markets (items 1-2) entirely — they are logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game outcome, making them unsuitable for trading. Use Polymarket's markets instead, which follow standard sports betting resolution: one outcome per market with clear winner/loser or spread thresholds.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's monoline markets (items 1-2) state 'If Saint Louis wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Michigan wins... then the market resolves to Yes', meaning both outcomes resolve YES. This is a logical contradiction that violates basic market design. Quote: 'If Saint Louis wins the Saint Louis at Michigan men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan wins the Saint Louis at Michigan men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket's markets use mutually exclusive binary resolution. The monoline market resolves to 'Saint Louis Billikens' if Saint Louis wins, or 'Michigan Wolverines' if Michigan wins — exactly one outcome per game. All spread and over/under markets follow identical logic with clear thresholds and mutually exclusive outcomes. Quote: 'If the Saint Louis Billikens win, the market will resolve to "Saint Louis Billikens". If the Michigan Wolverines win, the market will resolve to "Michigan Wolverines".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.