TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines
Volume:
$18,532,206
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the men's college basketball game between Saint Louis Billikens and Michigan Wolverines scheduled for March 21, 2026, played at Michigan's home venue. The markets resolve based on the final outcome of the game, with resolution occurring upon completion of regulation play and any necessary overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's monoline markets resolve YES for ANY outcome (both Saint Louis win AND Michigan win), creating a logical contradiction that makes these markets fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution logic where each outcome resolves to a single winner or spread threshold. This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's platform.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's monoline markets (items 1-2) entirely — they are logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game outcome, making them unsuitable for trading. Use Polymarket's markets instead, which follow standard sports betting resolution: one outcome per market with clear winner/loser or spread thresholds.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's monoline markets (items 1-2) state 'If Saint Louis wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Michigan wins... then the market resolves to Yes', meaning both outcomes resolve YES. This is a logical contradiction that violates basic market design. Quote: 'If Saint Louis wins the Saint Louis at Michigan men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan wins the Saint Louis at Michigan men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket's markets use mutually exclusive binary resolution. The monoline market resolves to 'Saint Louis Billikens' if Saint Louis wins, or 'Michigan Wolverines' if Michigan wins — exactly one outcome per game. All spread and over/under markets follow identical logic with clear thresholds and mutually exclusive outcomes. Quote: 'If the Saint Louis Billikens win, the market will resolve to "Saint Louis Billikens". If the Michigan Wolverines win, the market will resolve to "Michigan Wolverines".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.