TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Dayton Flyers (W)
Volume:
$90,625
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Saint Louis Billikens and Dayton Flyers scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory—it states both Saint Louis winning and Dayton winning resolve to Yes, which violates binary market principles. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution (one team wins, one team loses). This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's side.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market until the logic is clarified. The statement that both outcomes resolve Yes is logically impossible for a binary event. Polymarket's structure is resolvable and standard. Treat Kalshi as unreliable pending correction.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Claims both Saint Louis win and Dayton win resolve to Yes. This is logically contradictory and suggests either a documentation error or a critical market design flaw. No clear resolution path exists for a binary outcome.
- Polymarket: Resolves to the name of the winning team: Saint Louis Billikens or Dayton Flyers. Includes standard provisions for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). This is a standard binary sports market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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