This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Saint Louis Billikens and Dayton Flyers scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), over/under total points at 156.5, and point spreads at -4.5 and -3.5 for Saint Louis.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Dayton win and Saint Louis win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until this contradiction is resolved. Use Polymarket's moneyline, O/U, and spread markets as your primary resolution framework. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether the market should resolve Yes if the game is played (any winner) and No if canceled, or if this is a template error.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Saint Louis Billikens or Dayton Flyers). O/U 156.5 resolves Over if combined score >= 157, Under if < 157. Spreads (-4.5 and -3.5) resolve based on margin of victory. All markets: postponement keeps open; cancellation without makeup = 50-50. Source: NCAA.org final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Market states: 'If Dayton wins... resolves to Yes. If Saint Louis wins... resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to Yes, leaving no logical path to No resolution. This is a logical contradiction that violates basic binary market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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